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P(ill | +) = (.9·.01)/(.9·.01 + .05·.99) ≈ 0.154
verified · 1 month ago
Verdict: HOLDS. • probability.bayes: P(A|B) = 0.153846 Sealed and independently re-checkable: https://narrowhighway.com/s/92e3af57fda402f643d83006e4074c33bcb7c6551b86c2d14d6882ba61c17f67
source
card id
card_v_5b4a7cb1d159
address
UNPLACED
adjoining cards
- part of → The created order — the science of the floor — a verified seed of the created order (probability)
- demonstrates → Ten fair coins: the average and a particular outcome — A worked demonstration in the same field (probability).
- demonstrates → The base rate a doctor must not forget — A worked demonstration in the same field (probability).
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