{"query": "Predictive Processing / Active Inference", "count": 20, "results": [{"id": "card_ncs_l1_predictive_processing", "title": "Predictive Processing / Active Inference", "shelf": "regulation", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Level 1 of the Nested Control-Systems stack. The computational frame: the brain minimizes prediction error and selects policies; autonomic shifts are action policies, meltdowns a cascading precision-a", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "Friston (2005), Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 360:815; Lawson, Rees & Friston (2014), Front. Hum. Neurosci. 8:302 (aberrant precision account of autism).", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_theory_quantum_mechanics", "title": "Quantum mechanics (Schrödinger equation)", "shelf": "theories", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Quantum mechanics (Schrödinger equation) — an engine domain that can touch it: physics. Calibration: partial — energy levels and specific relations verify; interpretation is map-only. A system is desc", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "The Theory Assay — calibrated, not judged (docs/THEORY_CATALOG.md)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_theory_celestial_mechanics_ephemeris_prediction", "title": "Celestial mechanics / ephemeris prediction", "shelf": "theories", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Celestial mechanics / ephemeris prediction — an engine domain that can touch it: ephemeris. Calibration: seals — a deterministic verifier can CONFIRM or BREAK checkable claims drawn from it. Computing", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "The Theory Assay — calibrated, not judged (docs/THEORY_CATALOG.md)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_theory_signal_detection", "title": "Signal detection theory (sensitivity, criterion, ROC)", "shelf": "theories", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Signal detection theory (sensitivity, criterion, ROC) — an engine domain that can touch it: statistics. Calibration: seals — sensitivity, specificity, predictive values and ROC areas compute exactly. ", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "The Theory Assay — calibrated, not judged (docs/THEORY_CATALOG.md)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_floor_physical_chemistry", "title": "Physical chemistry — rate, equilibrium, acid-base, redox", "shelf": "codex", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Deeper in chemistry: the laws that make it predictive. Kinetics (how fast), equilibrium (the balance point, Delta G = -RT ln K), acid-base (pKa + pKb = 14), and electrochemistry (the cell potential). ", "authority_tier": "engine_derived", "source": "Narrow Highway — physical chemistry", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_n_6e7a5b14e556", "title": "The periodic table — the map of the elements", "shelf": "science", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "118 elements, ordered by proton count, and their properties RECUR in periods — the\nsingle most predictive table in science. Sealed in-domain: carbon is element 6, symbol C\n(https://narrowhighway.com/s", "authority_tier": "engine_derived", "source": "Concordance assay — 2026-07-09", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_openstax_principles_data_science_4_1_statistical_inference_and_confidence_455d0a78", "title": "4.1 Statistical Inference and Confidence Intervals — Principles of Data Science", "shelf": "reference", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "4.1\n\nStatistical Inference and Confidence Intervals\n\nLearning Outcomes\n\nBy the end of this section, you should be able to:\n\n4.1.1\nEstimate parameters, create confidence intervals, and calculate sample", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "OpenStax: Principles of Data Science (CC-BY 4.0)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_n_fe27e59e1804", "title": "The autonomic spine — four theories, one causal stack, one load-bearing primary", "shelf": "science", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "The mechanism under the layers is autonomic regulation, and it is built from FOUR published,\nindividually-falsifiable theories — Matt did not invent them, he composed them into a stack that\noperates a", "authority_tier": "engine_derived", "source": "Concordance assay — 2026-07-10", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_n_232eb0029ad3", "title": "Grimm's Law — sound change without exceptions, and the exception that deepened it", "shelf": "science", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Grimm (1822): the PIE voiceless stops became Germanic fricatives, systematically — *p -> f\n(pater->father, ped->foot, piscis->fish), *t -> th (tres->three), *k -> h (cornu->horn,\ncanis->hound, centum-", "authority_tier": "engine_derived", "source": "Concordance assay — 2026-07-09", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_ncs_l5_allostatic_interoception", "title": "Predictive Allostatic Interoception", "shelf": "regulation", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Level 5 of the Nested Control-Systems stack. The dashboard & feedback: the brain predicts bodily energy needs by interoceptive inference; the gut is a load READOUT, not primary causation — gut dysregu", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "Barrett & Simmons (2015), Nat. Rev. Neurosci. 16:419; Stephan et al. (2023), Front. Hum. Neurosci. 16:1032319 (allostatic self-efficacy).", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_k_ncs_validation", "title": "Nested Control Systems — a pre-registered falsification program (NHANES)", "shelf": "science", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "STATUS: pre-registered protocol, frozen 2026-03-04 — NOT yet executed. No verdict is claimed; this seed records the TEST, not a result.\nThe nested-control-systems framework (the autonomic spine) is bo", "authority_tier": "matt", "source": "Operator's artifact (Matt) — framework_validation_v3_final, frozen 2026-03-04", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_builder_claudius_ptolemy", "title": "Claudius Ptolemy", "shelf": "builders", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "Claudius Ptolemy (c. 100–170 AD) — science. The gift: predictive mathematical astronomy — the Almagest 'saved the appearances' and forecast the heavens accurately for 1400 years. Where it fell short: ", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "The builders of the Floor — credited with love, calibrated to the plumb-line", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_ncs_framework_discernment", "title": "Nested Control Systems — the framework, with its falsifiers", "shelf": "regulation", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "The Nested Control-Systems framework reads chronic dysregulation as failure in a NESTED stack of control layers rather than as separate competing diseases: a computational frame (predictive processing", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "Nested Control-Systems framework — Friston 2005; Aston-Jones & Cohen 2005; Thayer & Lane 2000/2009; Barrett & Simmons 2015; Stephan et al. 2023", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_word_predictive", "title": "predictive", "shelf": "dictionary", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "predictive: (adjective) of or relating to prediction; having value for making predictions — syn: prognostic, prognosticative", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "WordNet 3.0, Princeton University (WordNet License)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_etym_predictive", "title": "predictive", "shelf": "etymology", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "predictive: etymology (Webster 1913) — a.: [L. praedictivus.]. From Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary (1913), public domain.", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary (1913), Project Gutenberg eBook #29765 — public domain", "readable": true, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_pron_predictive", "title": "predictive", "shelf": "pronunciation", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "predictive: pronounced (ARPABET) P R IH0 D IH1 K T IH0 V; also P R IY0 D IH1 K T IH0 V. From the CMU Pronouncing Dictionary — the standard machine-readable pronunciations of North American English.", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "CMU Pronouncing Dictionary (cmudict) — BSD-2-Clause, Carnegie Mellon", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_etym_prognostic", "title": "prognostic", "shelf": "etymology", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "prognostic: etymology (Webster 1913) — a.: [Gr. Prognosis.]; n.: [L. prognosticum, Gr. pronostic, prognostic. See Prognostic, a.]. From Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary (1913), public domain.", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary (1913), Project Gutenberg eBook #29765 — public domain", "readable": true, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_word_prognostic", "title": "prognostic", "shelf": "dictionary", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "prognostic: (noun) a sign of something about to happen — syn: omen, portent, presage, prognostication, prodigy · (adjective) of or relating to prediction; having value for making predictions — syn: pr", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "WordNet 3.0, Princeton University (WordNet License)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_word_prognosticative", "title": "prognosticative", "shelf": "dictionary", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "prognosticative: (adjective) of or relating to prediction; having value for making predictions — syn: predictive, prognostic", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "WordNet 3.0, Princeton University (WordNet License)", "readable": false, "generated": false}, {"id": "card_src_etym_prognosticate", "title": "prognosticate", "shelf": "etymology", "surface": "secular", "snippet": "prognosticate: etymology (Webster 1913) — v. t.: [See Prognostic.]. From Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary (1913), public domain.", "authority_tier": "reference", "source": "Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary (1913), Project Gutenberg eBook #29765 — public domain", "readable": true, "generated": false}], "house": {"door": "FIND", "kind": "cards", "trail": "results", "seal": null, "next_step": {"do": "open the top card", "door": "FIND", "tool": "card_get", "params": {"id": "card_ncs_l1_predictive_processing"}}, "ends": "a verdict or a card · the trail · a seal · one next step"}}