The Mechanism · Gated-generation receipt

gen-what-is-the-significance-of-win-probability-models-answer-co-8753

stable pending witness
2026-05-29 05:17:38 UTC · anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5

Prompt

What is the significance of win probability models? Answer concisely in 2-3 sentences.
86 chars

Generation

Win probability models quantify a team's chance of winning at any point during a game based on current game state (score, time remaining, field position, etc.). They provide objective context for evaluating in-game decisions and help fans understand the impact of key plays or moments. These models have become essential tools for strategic analysis and real-time assessment of game situations.
28 tokens in · 77 tokens out · 4026 ms · $0.0012

The four gates

RED
pass
no disqualifying input patterns detected
FLOOR
pass
output above protective minimum; no mismatches
WAY
pass
no declared way_path (Way check NA); no coercion language
EXECUTION
deferred
no witnesses available (Witness Roll not yet constituted)

Verifier results

scripture_anchors NOT_APPLICABLE
0 Scripture citation(s) extracted
theology_doctrine NOT_APPLICABLE
no doctrine keyword patterns detected

Metrics

Total latency
4033.9 ms
Base LLM
4026.4 ms
Verifiers
0.1 ms
Gates
0.0 ms
Cost
$0.0012

Trail

05:17:38 received prompt_chars=86 verifiers=['scripture_anchors', 'theology_doctrine']
05:17:38 red_gate decision=pass reason=no disqualifying input patterns detected
05:17:42 base_llm_call model=anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5 tokens_in=28 tokens_out=77 latency_ms=4026.4 cost_usd=0.0012
05:17:42 verifier:scripture_anchors verdict=NOT_APPLICABLE summary=0 Scripture citation(s) extracted
05:17:42 verifier:theology_doctrine verdict=NOT_APPLICABLE summary=no doctrine keyword patterns detected
05:17:42 floor_gate decision=pass reason=output above protective minimum; no mismatches
05:17:42 way_gate decision=pass reason=no declared way_path (Way check NA); no coercion language
05:17:42 execution_gate decision=deferred reason=no witnesses available (Witness Roll not yet constituted)
05:17:42 signed hash_algo=sha256 hash=sha256:3af1d09fadad31c34d1d95a1c0518778cd723e48c0b855bf07de706599a55657

Content hash

sha256:3af1d09fadad31c34d1d95a1c0518778cd723e48c0b855bf07de706599a55657

SHA256 over the canonical JSON (excluding this field). Tamper detection. Ed25519 signing planned for v2 once the operator’s signing key is provisioned on disk.

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