The Mechanism · Gated-generation receipt

gen-in-3-4-sentences-explain-leverage-index-in-close-games-state-feaa

stable pending witness
2026-05-29 05:15:43 UTC · anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5

Prompt

In 3-4 sentences, explain leverage index in close games. State any key formula.
79 chars

Generation

# Leverage Index in Close Games Leverage index (LI) measures the criticality of a game situation by quantifying how much a plate appearance could swing the win probability. It's calculated as the standard deviation of all possible win probability changes that could result from that PA, normalized so that the average LI across all situations equals 1.0. **Key formula:** LI = σ(ΔWin%) / Average σ(ΔWin%) In close games, leverage is typically highest in late innings with the score tied or within one run, often peaking around LI values of 2.5-3.0 or higher, meaning those situations are 2.5-3× more important than an average plate appearance.
27 tokens in · 164 tokens out · 5288 ms · $0.0025

The four gates

RED
pass
no disqualifying input patterns detected
FLOOR
pass
output above protective minimum; no mismatches
WAY
pass
no declared way_path (Way check NA); no coercion language
EXECUTION
deferred
no witnesses available (Witness Roll not yet constituted)

Verifier results

scripture_anchors NOT_APPLICABLE
0 Scripture citation(s) extracted
theology_doctrine NOT_APPLICABLE
no doctrine keyword patterns detected

Metrics

Total latency
5295.7 ms
Base LLM
5288.5 ms
Verifiers
0.2 ms
Gates
0.0 ms
Cost
$0.0025

Trail

05:15:43 received prompt_chars=79 verifiers=['scripture_anchors', 'theology_doctrine']
05:15:43 red_gate decision=pass reason=no disqualifying input patterns detected
05:15:49 base_llm_call model=anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5 tokens_in=27 tokens_out=164 latency_ms=5288.5 cost_usd=0.0025
05:15:49 verifier:scripture_anchors verdict=NOT_APPLICABLE summary=0 Scripture citation(s) extracted
05:15:49 verifier:theology_doctrine verdict=NOT_APPLICABLE summary=no doctrine keyword patterns detected
05:15:49 floor_gate decision=pass reason=output above protective minimum; no mismatches
05:15:49 way_gate decision=pass reason=no declared way_path (Way check NA); no coercion language
05:15:49 execution_gate decision=deferred reason=no witnesses available (Witness Roll not yet constituted)
05:15:49 signed hash_algo=sha256 hash=sha256:ecec93eda4c6806bf61061a98a0639ca3d8f61fa3b59485c2ccc5b438cf0a029

Content hash

sha256:ecec93eda4c6806bf61061a98a0639ca3d8f61fa3b59485c2ccc5b438cf0a029

SHA256 over the canonical JSON (excluding this field). Tamper detection. Ed25519 signing planned for v2 once the operator’s signing key is provisioned on disk.

Bring another teaching · Run a discernment